Streak psychology
Risk & Psychology
Hot hands and cold spirals
Win streaks breed oversizing right before regression; losing streaks breed fear right before your edge returns. Fixed rules flatten both distortions: same risk, same process.
Check yourself
After 8 straight wins, the biggest danger is…
- The market changing
- You changing, oversizing on borrowed confidence correct
- Nothing
The edge didn't grow with your streak, but your size did. Regression collects the difference.
Learn this properly
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